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Sunday, 1 November 2026 Business · World · Analysis
THE BUSINESS TIME
ARGONAUTS MEDIA GROUP®
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British consumer confidence plunges: the biggest fall since the Brexit referendum

The GfK consumer confidence index fell by 11 points in October, to -24. People are putting off big purchases and saving more.

Graphic: GfK consumer confidence index fell to -24 in October 2026
Graphic: THE BUSINESS TIME

In October Britons took a much gloomier view of their finances and the economy. The GfK consumer confidence index fell by 11 points to -24. The data were published on 23 October.

According to GfK, it is the biggest one-month fall since the Brexit referendum in July 2016. Only the start of the COVID-19 pandemic saw a larger drop. All components of the index fell.

Expectations for the economy over the next 12 months deteriorated most (-36, down 14 points), as did willingness to make major purchases (-22, also down 14 points). The outlook for personal finances over the coming year fell to -3. Only the savings index rose – to +28.

Neil Bellamy of GfK points to the cost of living and unresolved conflicts around the world that are pushing up inflation (currently 3.5%). The fall is seen across all income and age groups. The survey was conducted from 1 to 14 October among 2,003 adults.

What it means for you

  • Families: you are not alone if you are putting off bigger spending. Most people are doing the same right now and prefer to save.
  • Workers: when customers buy less, firms are more cautious about hiring. There may be fewer seasonal jobs before Christmas.
  • Businesses: customers will put off big purchases – furniture, cars, renovations, electronics. That also affects many Polish construction and service firms in the UK.

Our assessment

Such a sharp fall in confidence is a warning ahead of the Budget. People fear tax rises and further price increases. The same picture shows in the shops: retail sales fell by 0.4% in September. We expect a weaker Christmas season. Businesses that give customers a sense of security – fixed prices, instalments, clear terms – stand a better chance of making sales.

What to do

  • Families: draw up a simple household budget for the next 3 months. The free tool MoneyHelper – Budget plannercan help.
  • Check whether you are entitled to benefits: GOV.UK – benefits calculators.
  • Businesses: prepare a “tough times” offer – smaller packages, instalments, a discount for early payment. Keep an eye on cash flow.

Source: GfK / NIQ – Consumer Confidence October 2026 (23.10.2026).

Corrections & responses

We assess factual corrections and substantive responses. Verified changes are reflected in our reporting.

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